October 28, 2024

By Daniel Masuda Lehrman, CFP®, CSLP®

Weekly Market Recap: Key Insights for Investors from a Fee-Only Financial Planner in Hawaii

In a market marked by fluctuations, last week's performance in the S&P 500 and across various sectors gave investors much to reflect on. As a fee-only financial planner based in Hawaii, I believe that understanding these trends is crucial to building a resilient investment strategy, especially in today’s complex financial landscape. Whether you're a seasoned investor or just starting your financial journey, keeping an eye on shifts in the stock market, interest rates, and alternative assets like gold and bitcoin can help you make informed decisions. Here, we’ll dive into what happened in the markets last week and what it could mean for you and your portfolio.


Stocks: Unsteady Ground but a Few Bright Spots

The stock market didn’t start the week with much momentum, as the S&P 500 struggled to gain footing and ultimately posted a nearly 1% drop on Wednesday. This marked the S&P 500's largest one-day decline since early October, reminding investors of the ongoing volatility in equities.

While it was a challenging week overall, some companies performed impressively. For example, Tesla saw a significant gain, climbing nearly 25% after surpassing analyst expectations in their latest earnings report. This kind of performance by an individual stock underscores the potential value of investing in innovative companies with strong fundamentals, even during turbulent market conditions.

Tesla’s rally also highlighted the importance of sector-based investment strategies. Last week, consumer durables, communications, and health services sectors were top performers, while producer manufacturing, process industries, and health technology sectors lagged. As a Hawaii advisor focused on helping clients build diversified portfolios, I recommend considering sector performance when evaluating stocks to add to your portfolio. Diversification doesn’t mean just spreading assets across different stocks but also strategically investing across various sectors that may react differently to market trends.

10-Year Treasury Yields and Federal Reserve Uncertainty

Interest rates have been a hot topic in 2023, as the Federal Reserve’s moves greatly impact both the stock and bond markets. Last week, 10-year Treasury yields rose, especially during the first half of the week, as investors grappled with the uncertainty surrounding the Fed’s future actions.

Rising Treasury yields can signal investors' expectation of economic stability but also potential challenges for equities. High yields generally mean that borrowing costs increase, which can strain companies that rely on debt for growth. For investors, this is a cue to keep an eye on bond market developments as well as Fed announcements, as both can influence everything from corporate profits to individual borrowing costs.

If you’re wondering how to balance bonds within your portfolio, a fee-only financial planner in Hawaii like myself can help. Especially in a high-yield environment, bonds can be both a stabilizing force and a source of income, but it’s crucial to tailor your bond holdings based on your financial goals, risk tolerance, and timeline.

Gold’s New Highs: The Safe Haven Shines Again

Gold pushed to new all-time highs last week, once again cementing its reputation as a “safe-haven” asset. In times of market instability or economic uncertainty, gold is often seen as a reliable store of value. This recent surge aligns with investor concerns over inflation, global economic trends, and potential stock market volatility, all of which can lead individuals to seek security in precious metals.

For investors, adding a small allocation of gold to a diversified portfolio can provide a hedge against inflation and market downturns. However, it’s important to remember that gold, like any investment, comes with its own risks, such as price volatility and storage costs. As your Hawaii advisor, I would generally recommend keeping gold to a reasonable portion of your portfolio. It can act as insurance, but over-allocating may limit growth potential, especially if other assets outperform during a market upswing.

Bitcoin: Consolidation After a Rally

Bitcoin is known for its high volatility, and last week was no exception. After a nearly 10% surge the previous week, bitcoin spent last week consolidating as investors assessed its recent gains. Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies continue to draw interest from investors looking for alternative assets with potential for high returns.

However, the crypto market remains unpredictable, and its performance is influenced by a mix of factors, including regulatory news, technological advancements, and investor sentiment. For long-term investors, it’s crucial to view bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies with a balanced approach. While they can offer substantial gains, they also come with significant risks, and integrating them into a traditional investment portfolio requires careful consideration.

If you're considering adding crypto to your portfolio, consult a fee-only financial planner in Hawaii to understand how it could impact your overall investment strategy. Adding crypto in moderation and aligning it with your financial goals is a more prudent way to benefit from its potential without exposing yourself to undue risk.

What These Market Trends Mean for Your Financial Strategy

In a dynamic market, staying informed on stock performance, interest rates, and alternative assets can give you an edge. Here’s a breakdown of what these trends could mean for your investment approach:

  1. Maintain a Balanced Portfolio: The recent ups and downs in the stock market underscore the importance of diversification. Aim to spread your investments across different sectors and asset types to mitigate risk. As your Hawaii advisor, I can help create a tailored investment strategy that aligns with your financial goals and tolerances, protecting you from heavy losses if one sector or asset class underperforms.
  2. Consider Fixed-Income Investments: Rising Treasury yields can be a great opportunity for those interested in bonds or other fixed-income products. Fixed-income investments are especially attractive if you’re nearing retirement or have a lower risk tolerance. Incorporating bonds into your portfolio can offer stability and income, especially if stock markets remain volatile.
  3. Don’t Ignore Safe-Haven Assets: Gold’s recent performance reminds us that safe-haven assets have a place in a well-diversified portfolio. However, balance is key. Including a small allocation of gold can hedge against inflation and stock market risk, but over-investing in gold may curb your portfolio’s growth potential.
  4. Be Cautious with Cryptocurrency: Bitcoin’s volatility can be appealing, but it’s essential to approach crypto with caution. Adding a modest amount of cryptocurrency might bring diversification benefits, but be sure it aligns with your risk profile and financial objectives. For investors in Hawaii, working with a fee-only financial planner can offer guidance on whether crypto has a role in your portfolio and how to manage its risks.

Partner with a Fee-Only Financial Planner in Hawaii

Navigating the markets doesn’t have to be a solo journey. With a fee-only financial planner in Hawaii by your side, you can gain insights into complex market trends, create a balanced portfolio, and develop a financial strategy that prioritizes your goals. As a fiduciary advisor, my commitment is to provide unbiased advice tailored to your unique needs. Working with a fee-only planner means you’ll receive transparent guidance focused solely on your best interests—not on commissions or hidden fees.

In a market characterized by swings and uncertainty, having a financial partner who understands both the global market forces and the unique aspects of Hawaii’s economic environment can make a meaningful difference in achieving your financial goals. Together, we can build a strategy that embraces both growth and protection, ensuring that your finances are positioned for long-term success.

If you're ready to take the next step toward a secure financial future, reach out today. As your trusted Hawaii advisor, I’m here to guide you through each decision, helping you invest confidently and navigate the evolving market landscape.

About Daniel Masuda Lehrman

I am a Fee-Only Fiduciary and Founder of Masuda Lehrman Wealth LLC. Prior to starting my own firm, I was a Vice President Financial Consultant at Charles Schwab in their Downtown Honolulu office. I have worked in financial planning for 10 years at Vanguard, Fidelity, and Schwab. I'm a CERTIFIED FINANCIAL PLANNER™ professional (CFP®) and Certified Student Loan Professional with an Economics degree from the University of Michigan.

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