November 18, 2024

By Daniel Masuda Lehrman, CFP®, CSLP®

Navigating Market Volatility: What Investors in Hawaii Need to Know

Markets are a rollercoaster ride—one week up, the next week down. The recent swings in the stock market, fueled by post-election enthusiasm followed by inflation data and Federal Reserve commentary, are a perfect example. While the markets surged 4.6% after the elections, they quickly fell over 2% the following week. For investors, especially those in Hawaii, this volatility can feel unsettling.

If you’re working with a fee only financial planner in Hawaii or considering professional guidance, you’re likely asking the same question many investors have: How should I navigate these turbulent waters? This blog will help you break down the latest market trends, understand their impact, and explore why working with a Hawaii advisor is one of the best steps you can take to secure your financial future.

A Closer Look at Recent Market Trends

Post-Election Euphoria Turns to Uncertainty

Post-election optimism boosted the markets, with stocks rising an impressive 4.6%. However, the excitement was short-lived. As inflation data rolled in and the Federal Reserve reiterated its commitment to higher interest rates, markets retraced 2%.

The Fed’s stance is particularly noteworthy. Chair Jerome Powell made it clear the central bank is in no rush to cut rates, signaling a commitment to keeping inflation under control, even if it means slower economic growth in the short term.

For Hawaii investors, this policy translates to higher borrowing costs for mortgages, personal loans, and credit cards—important factors to consider when reviewing your financial plans. A fee only fiduciary Hawaii professional can help you adjust strategies to reflect these changing dynamics.

Sector Winners and Losers

Amid this volatility, sector performance varied widely:

  • Winners: Consumer durables, technology services, and retail trade sectors showed strength, likely buoyed by resilient consumer spending and tech innovation.
  • Losers: Non-energy minerals, process industries, and health technology sectors underperformed, underscoring the uneven impact of economic shifts.

This highlights the importance of a diversified portfolio. By working with a Hawaii advisor, you can ensure your investments are spread across sectors and asset classes, reducing your exposure to underperforming areas while positioning for long-term growth.

The Bigger Picture: Inflation and Its Ripple Effects

How Inflation Impacts Hawaii

Hawaii’s unique economy makes inflation an especially pressing concern. With most goods imported, residents often face higher prices than the national average. Rising costs for essentials like groceries, housing, and transportation can erode purchasing power and put pressure on household budgets.

For investors, inflation poses additional challenges:

  • Erosion of cash value: Money held in low-interest savings accounts loses purchasing power over time.
  • Impact on investments: Fixed-income investments like bonds may underperform in a high-inflation environment.

This is where a fee only financial planner in Hawaii can make a difference. They can help you adjust your portfolio to include assets that perform well in inflationary periods, such as stocks, real estate, or inflation-protected securities.

Fed Policy: What It Means for You

Higher interest rates often translate to increased borrowing costs. In Hawaii, where real estate prices are among the highest in the nation, rising mortgage rates could make homeownership more challenging for many residents. If you’re considering buying a home or refinancing, now is the time to strategize with a Hawaii advisor to understand how interest rates may affect your plans.

Cryptocurrency’s Continued Ascent

Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies have been on a tear, with Bitcoin notching a 3% gain this week after a stunning 17% rise the previous week. For investors, the appeal of crypto lies in its potential for outsized returns and its role as a hedge against traditional market risks.

However, crypto remains highly volatile. While its recent performance has been impressive, sharp declines are just as common as record-setting gains. For Hawaii investors, this volatility may not align with long-term financial goals like retirement planning or saving for a child’s education.

A fee only financial planner in Hawaii can help you weigh the pros and cons of incorporating crypto into your portfolio. If you decide to invest, they can guide you on how much exposure is appropriate based on your risk tolerance and financial objectives.

Commodities Update: Gold and Oil

While cryptocurrencies shone, traditional commodities like gold and oil had a rough week:

  • Gold: Long considered a safe haven, gold posted its second consecutive weekly loss, falling over 4%.
  • Oil: Prices dropped as well, driven by forecasts of a significant surplus by 2025.

For Hawaii-based investors, these trends are a reminder of the importance of diversification. A well-rounded portfolio ensures that no single asset class—be it stocks, bonds, crypto, or commodities—determines your financial success.

Why Hawaii Investors Should Work with a Fee Only Financial Planner

If market volatility has you feeling uneasy, you’re not alone. Navigating today’s financial landscape requires expertise and a steady hand—qualities you’ll find in a fee only financial planner in Hawaii.

The Fiduciary Advantage

Fee-only planners are fiduciaries, meaning they are legally obligated to act in your best interest. Unlike commission-based advisors, they don’t earn money by selling financial products. This ensures their recommendations are unbiased and aligned with your goals.

Local Expertise Matters

Hawaii’s financial landscape is unique, shaped by factors like high living costs, a reliance on tourism, and state-specific tax policies. A local Hawaii advisor understands these nuances and can offer personalized strategies tailored to your circumstances.

Proactive Planning

Market volatility is part of investing, but having a clear plan can help you stay focused. A fee only fiduciary Hawaii professional can help you develop a comprehensive financial strategy, whether you’re saving for retirement, planning for education, or working toward other life goals.

Practical Tips for Managing Market Volatility

1. Stay Calm and Stick to Your Plan

Emotional reactions often lead to poor financial decisions. If you’ve worked with a fee only financial planner in Hawaii to create a solid investment plan, trust the process. Markets have always recovered from downturns over time.

2. Diversify Your Investments

Diversification reduces risk by spreading your investments across different asset classes and sectors. A Hawaii advisor can help you build a portfolio that balances risk and return, ensuring you’re prepared for both bull and bear markets.

3. Reassess Your Risk Tolerance

Market swings are an opportunity to evaluate whether your portfolio aligns with your comfort level. If you’re feeling overly anxious about losses, it may be time to adjust your asset allocation.

4. Look for Opportunities

Down markets often create buying opportunities. High-quality stocks and other investments may be available at a discount, allowing you to strengthen your portfolio for the long term.

Preparing for the Future

While it’s easy to focus on short-term market moves, the most successful investors take a long-term perspective. Here are some key areas to consider:

Retirement Planning

For many, retiring in Hawaii is the ultimate dream. But achieving this goal requires careful planning, particularly given the state’s high costs. A fee only fiduciary Hawaii advisor can help you create a retirement strategy that accounts for inflation, healthcare expenses, and the lifestyle you envision.

Education Savings

Whether you’re saving for your children’s college education or planning to fund a loved one’s academic journey, education costs are rising. A Hawaii advisor can guide you on tax-efficient savings options like 529 plans, helping you maximize your contributions.

Legacy and Estate Planning

Preserving your wealth for future generations is a priority for many families. Estate planning can be complex, but a fee only financial planner in Hawaii can help you navigate the process, ensuring your assets are distributed according to your wishes.

Behavioral Finance: The Psychology of Investing

Investing isn’t just about numbers—it’s also about mindset. Behavioral finance, which examines how emotions influence financial decisions, offers valuable insights for navigating market volatility.

Common pitfalls include:

  • Panic selling: Selling investments during downturns locks in losses and can derail your long-term goals.
  • Chasing trends: Jumping on the latest investment fad often leads to poor outcomes.

By working with a Hawaii advisor, you’ll have a partner to help you stay disciplined and focused, ensuring your decisions are guided by logic rather than emotion.

The Value of Long-Term Perspective

Markets will rise and fall, but history shows they tend to move upward over time. Staying invested, maintaining a diversified portfolio, and focusing on your goals are the keys to financial success.

For Hawaii investors, working with a local expert adds an extra layer of confidence. A fee only financial planner in Hawaii understands the unique challenges you face and can provide personalized advice to help you achieve your dreams.

Conclusion: Secure Your Financial Future Today

Navigating market volatility is challenging, but you don’t have to go it alone. A fee only fiduciary Hawaii professional can help you stay the course, capitalize on opportunities, and build a secure financial future.

If you’re ready to take the next step, consider scheduling a consultation with a Hawaii advisor. Together, you can develop a strategy that aligns with your goals, adapts to market changes, and sets you on the path to success.

Contact us today to learn how a fee only financial planner in Hawaii can help you achieve your financial dreams. Whether it’s retirement, education, or legacy planning, we’re here to guide you every step of the way.

About Daniel Masuda Lehrman

I am a Fee-Only Fiduciary and Founder of Masuda Lehrman Wealth LLC. Prior to starting my own firm, I was a Vice President Financial Consultant at Charles Schwab in their Downtown Honolulu office. I have worked in financial planning for 10 years at Vanguard, Fidelity, and Schwab. I'm a CERTIFIED FINANCIAL PLANNER™ professional (CFP®) and Certified Student Loan Professional with an Economics degree from the University of Michigan.

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