Navigating Market Volatility: Smart Financial Planning in Uncertain Times

February 3, 2025

By Daniel Masuda Lehrman, CFP®, CSLP®

Navigating Market Volatility: Smart Financial Planning in Uncertain Times

It was a rocky week in the markets. If you’ve been keeping an eye on the headlines, you probably felt the turbulence. The S&P 500 took a hit early in the week, artificial intelligence (AI) stocks saw a major shake-up, and Federal Reserve policy sent ripples through the economy. When markets are volatile, it's easy to get caught up in the noise—but long-term financial success isn’t about reacting to every headline. It’s about staying the course with a well-thought-out plan.

As a fee only financial planner in Hawaii, I help clients navigate times like these with confidence. Whether you're investing for growth, preparing for retirement, or just trying to make sense of what’s happening in the economy, the key is to focus on what you can control. Let’s break down what’s been happening in the markets and what it means for your financial future.

Market Recap: What Happened This Week?

Last week’s market swings were driven by three major factors:

  1. AI Shake-Up: Chinese AI company DeepSeek made waves by developing a language model rivaling OpenAI’s at a fraction of the cost. This news sent AI-related stocks—like Nvidia—plummeting.
  2. Fed Policy: The Federal Reserve held interest rates steady, which initially sent markets downward before a brief rally. However, the rally was short-lived.
  3. Trade Policy Concerns: The White House’s announcement of new tariffs set to begin on Saturday led to another market decline.

Through all of this, some sectors fared better than others. Commercial services, retail trade, and health technology were among the strongest performers, while electronic technology, industrial services, and manufacturing lagged behind. Treasury yields, gold prices, and even Bitcoin moved in response to economic uncertainty.

So, what does all this mean for you? Let’s dive into the key takeaways for long-term investors.

Why Short-Term Volatility Shouldn’t Derail Your Plan

Market volatility can feel unsettling, especially when you see big drops in stock prices or hear conflicting economic forecasts. But here’s the thing: short-term market movements shouldn’t dictate your long-term financial strategy.

Here’s why:

1. Stock Market Volatility Is Normal

It may not feel like it, but market drops of 5–10% happen almost every year. Even bear markets (declines of 20% or more) are a natural part of investing. The key is staying invested through the ups and downs. Historically, the market has always recovered and reached new highs over time.

2. Trying to Time the Market Is a Losing Game

Some investors panic and try to “sell high and buy low,” but studies show that market timing doesn’t work. Investors who sell during downturns often miss the best recovery days, which can have a devastating impact on long-term returns.

3. A Solid Financial Plan Keeps You Grounded

This is why working with a fee only financial planner in Hawaii can be invaluable. A personalized financial plan helps you focus on what truly matters—your goals, risk tolerance, and time horizon—rather than getting caught up in market swings.

How to Protect Your Portfolio in Uncertain Markets

While you can’t control the market, you can control how you respond to it. Here are a few strategies to keep your portfolio strong through uncertainty:

1. Diversify, Diversify, Diversify

A well-diversified portfolio helps smooth out volatility. If all your investments are in one sector (like AI stocks), a single news event—like last week’s—could cause major losses. Holding a mix of asset classes (stocks, bonds, real estate, etc.) helps spread risk.

2. Rebalance Your Portfolio Periodically

Over time, some investments may outperform others, throwing your portfolio out of alignment. Rebalancing ensures that your portfolio remains in line with your target asset allocation and risk tolerance.

3. Stick to Your Long-Term Investment Plan

Jumping in and out of the market based on short-term headlines often leads to poor decisions. Instead, maintain a disciplined investment approach that aligns with your retirement planning and other financial goals.

4. Keep Cash Reserves for Short-Term Needs

If you’re nearing retirement or need funds soon, having a cash cushion (typically 6–12 months’ worth of expenses) ensures you won’t have to sell investments at a loss during downturns.

5. Work With a Fiduciary Advisor

A fee only fiduciary financial planner acts in your best interest, helping you navigate economic uncertainty with an evidence-based approach.

Retirement Planning in Volatile Markets

If you’re approaching retirement, market downturns can be particularly concerning. But the good news is that smart retirement planning can help you weather market storms.

Key Strategies for Retirement Success:

  1. Use a “Bucket Strategy” – Keep 1–3 years of cash in a conservative account for near-term expenses, while allowing long-term investments to grow.
  2. Maintain a Balanced Portfolio – A mix of stocks and bonds can help provide stability and growth.
  3. Consider Tax-Efficient Withdrawals – Work with your advisor to withdraw funds in a way that minimizes taxes and maximizes longevity.
  4. Review Your Plan Regularly – Economic conditions change, and your retirement plan should adapt accordingly.

At www.hawaiiadvisor.com, we specialize in helping clients build resilient retirement strategies so they can enjoy financial peace of mind—no matter what the markets are doing.

Looking Ahead: What to Expect in the Market

With more economic data coming out in the next week, markets may continue to be choppy. But rather than worrying about short-term fluctuations, focus on staying disciplined and following your financial plan.

Here’s What You Can Do Now:

Review your investment strategy with a fiduciary advisor.
Make sure your retirement plan is on track for long-term success.
Avoid emotional investment decisions—stay focused on your goals.

If you have concerns about how market volatility affects your financial future, let’s chat. As a fee only financial planner in Hawaii, I help clients make informed decisions so they can retire confidently and build wealth that lasts.

Schedule a free consultation today at www.hawaiiadvisor.com. Let’s create a strategy that works for you.

Final Thoughts

The stock market will always have ups and downs. The real key to financial success isn’t predicting the next downturn—it’s having a solid plan and sticking with it. Whether you're investing for growth, planning for retirement, or just trying to navigate uncertain times, working with a trusted fiduciary advisor can provide clarity and confidence.

Want to discuss your financial future? Let’s build a plan that helps you thrive—no matter what the markets do.

About Daniel Masuda Lehrman

I am a Fee-Only Fiduciary and Founder of Masuda Lehrman Wealth LLC. Prior to starting my own firm, I was a Vice President Financial Consultant at Charles Schwab in their Downtown Honolulu office. I have worked in financial planning for 10 years at Vanguard, Fidelity, and Schwab. I'm a CERTIFIED FINANCIAL PLANNER™ professional (CFP®) and Certified Student Loan Professional with an Economics degree from the University of Michigan.

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