Market Volatility and Retirement Planning: Staying the Course in Uncertain Times

February 10, 2025

By Daniel Masuda Lehrman, CFP®, CSLP®

Market Volatility and Retirement Planning: Staying the Course in Uncertain Times

The market made some big swings again this week, reminding us how quickly things can change. One day, the S&P 500 is down 2% after new tariffs are announced, and the next, those tariffs are reversed, sparking a rally. By Friday, a weaker-than-expected jobs report and more tariff concerns sent stocks lower again. Meanwhile, oil prices dropped, gold surged, and crypto remained as unpredictable as ever.

These ups and downs can be nerve-wracking, especially for those nearing or already in retirement. Market volatility can make you second-guess your investment strategy, wondering if you should make changes to protect your nest egg. But before making any moves, let’s take a step back and look at the bigger picture.

Why Market Volatility Shouldn’t Shake Your Retirement Plan

If you’re working with a fee only financial planner in Hawaii, chances are your portfolio is already designed with market swings in mind. A well-structured financial plan accounts for downturns, ensuring you have enough liquidity for near-term needs while allowing long-term investments to grow.

Here’s why staying the course often makes more sense than reacting to short-term market noise:

  1. Markets Are Cyclical
    While it’s unsettling to see red on the screen, history shows that markets recover over time. The S&P 500 has seen countless downturns, yet it has always rebounded, reaching new highs. Trying to time the market—jumping in and out based on news headlines—often leads to missing the best recovery days, which can significantly impact long-term returns.
  2. Your Retirement Timeline Matters
    If you're still years away from retirement, volatility can actually work in your favor. Market downturns allow you to buy shares at lower prices, helping your portfolio grow when markets recover. If you’re already retired, a diversified withdrawal strategy that includes cash reserves and bonds can help you avoid selling stocks at a loss.
  3. Your Financial Plan Should Be Built for This
    If your financial plan was designed properly, it already considers market fluctuations. A fee only fiduciary in Hawaii can help ensure that your retirement plan includes a mix of investments tailored to your risk tolerance, time horizon, and cash flow needs.

How to Protect Your Retirement Plan During Market Swings

While staying the course is often the best move, there are proactive steps you can take to ensure your retirement plan remains strong.

1. Reassess Your Risk Tolerance

Market swings can be a reality check for whether your portfolio matches your true risk tolerance. If you find yourself losing sleep over market drops, it might be time to adjust your asset allocation. That doesn’t mean panic-selling—it means rebalancing to ensure your investments align with your comfort level.

2. Maintain a Cash Reserve

Having 6–12 months' worth of expenses in cash or cash equivalents can help you avoid withdrawing from investments during downturns. This is especially important for retirees who rely on portfolio withdrawals to cover living expenses.

3. Diversify Beyond Stocks

While the stock market gets the most attention, other asset classes—like bonds, real estate, and commodities (such as gold, which surged this week)—can provide stability. A well-diversified portfolio helps smooth out volatility.

4. Stay Focused on Long-Term Goals

When headlines create panic, revisit your financial goals. Are you investing for a long-term retirement? Funding a child’s education? These objectives don’t change with day-to-day market movements. Your investment strategy should reflect your long-term goals, not short-term fears.

5. Work with a Fee Only Financial Planner in Hawaii

Markets will always have ups and downs, but a fee only financial planner in Hawaii can help you navigate uncertainty with confidence. At www.hawaiiadvisor.com, we focus on financial planning that prioritizes your best interests—no commissions, no hidden fees, just objective, fiduciary advice tailored to your unique situation.

What This Market Means for Investors Right Now

So, given the latest market swings, what should you actually do with your investments? Here’s a breakdown by investor type:

  • If you’re a long-term investor: Stay the course. Market dips are normal, and over time, they often provide great buying opportunities. Continue contributing to your retirement accounts as usual.
  • If you’re nearing retirement: Double-check your asset allocation and cash reserves. Make sure you have enough conservative investments to weather short-term downturns without needing to sell stocks at a loss.
  • If you’re already retired: Review your withdrawal strategy. If your portfolio has a mix of assets, you may be able to pull from safer investments (like bonds or cash) during downturns while letting your stock investments recover.

The Role of a Fee Only Financial Planner in Hawaii

Market volatility is an unavoidable part of investing, but you don’t have to navigate it alone. A fee only financial planner in Hawaii can help ensure that your portfolio is structured to withstand market ups and downs while keeping you on track toward your financial goals.

Final Thoughts

This week’s market swings serve as a reminder that volatility is part of the investing journey. The key to long-term success is having a well-structured financial plan that accounts for these fluctuations, allowing you to stay calm and stick to your strategy.

If you’re feeling uncertain about your investments or want a second opinion on your retirement plan, let’s talk. Schedule a consultation with a fee only financial planner in Hawaii at www.hawaiiadvisor.com and gain peace of mind knowing your finances are in good hands.

About Daniel Masuda Lehrman

I am a Fee-Only Fiduciary and Founder of Masuda Lehrman Wealth LLC. Prior to starting my own firm, I was a Vice President Financial Consultant at Charles Schwab in their Downtown Honolulu office. I have worked in financial planning for 10 years at Vanguard, Fidelity, and Schwab. I'm a CERTIFIED FINANCIAL PLANNER™ professional (CFP®) and Certified Student Loan Professional with an Economics degree from the University of Michigan.

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